September 2019

The Return of MLBs Youth

In 2013, about 28 percent of all Wins Above Replacement were created by the under-25 set. That was the ninth-largest share for any season since 1976. Output from youngsters has been on the upswing since the mid-to-late 1990s, when the percentage of WAR from young players hit its nadir. That nadir happened to occur at the height of baseball’s so-called steroid era.Further research is needed on the subject, but recent work on aging curves in the post-PED (performance enhancing drug) period suggests that today’s players are better earlier in their careers, and then decline much sooner and more sharply.Given that, it’s no surprise to see the game’s fresh faces producing a larger share of wins. A few years ago, Bill James — baseball writer and pagan god of sabermetrics — was asked whether baseball was in the midst of a golden age of great young stars. James created a “young talent inventory” (pay-walled), a somewhat elaborate methodology to measure whether runs were being created or saved by players aged 25 or younger.I’m not going to delve into so intricate a technique. But I like the 25-or-under cut-off (as do other prospect-watchers), so I decided to add up the Wins Above Replacement (WAR) produced by players in that age range for every season going back to 1976, the dawn of the free-agency/arbitration era. (Before then, player movement was far more restricted than it is now.)What proportion of total WAR in all of Major League Baseball has been generated by young players? read more

FiveThirtyEights 201516 NBA Forecast

The East is still the inferior conference — the average NBA team would stand to gain about two extra wins by moving from West to East. How much is two wins worth? It’s nothing to sneeze at, but it also isn’t going to make or break a team’s fortunes. The top-ranked Cleveland Cavaliers, for instance, would still be projected to win more than 60 games if they were given the schedule of a typical Western Conference team.Then again, the Cavs have a rare stockpile of talent by the standards of the East — we think they’re far and away the best team in the conference. That’s not exactly a bold prediction; perhaps more interesting is the No. 2 ranking CARMELO bestows on the Boston Celtics, who finished last season with the eighth seed in the East. Boston’s scoring attack wasn’t very good last year, but CARMELO thinks the team’s turnaround will be fueled by major improvements on the offensive end.As for the rest of the conference, the Atlanta Hawks’ projected decline — from 60 to 46 wins — might surprise their fans, but because many of last season’s stars are expected to regress to the mean, CARMELO thinks they’ll take equal steps backward on offense and defense. Along the same lines, the Milwaukee Bucks and Brooklyn Nets are projected to fall out of the playoffs (particularly Brooklyn, who we project to be in the East’s cellar), while CARMELO calls for the Charlotte Hornets to ascend to the postseason after sitting it out last year.WESTERN CONFERENCE 3BullsCentral+0.115+2.04+2.147.8 7HornetsSoutheast-1.0170.017-1.039.4 10PistonsCentral+1.210-3.127-1.936.6 Here at FiveThirtyEight HQ, we’ve been pretty excited about the upcoming 2015-16 NBA season.OK, that’s a bit of an understatement.For starters, we rolled out CARMELO,1Short for, ahem, Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization. our system for predicting the career of every NBA player, and we’ve been encouraging all who will listen to check out their favorite player’s projection. (Yes, our friends and families have asked us to stop.) We also used CARMELO to preview all 30 NBA teams.In each of those previews, we listed a “projected record” for the team in question to get a sense of what their fans should expect this year. But the trouble with writing these previews over such an extended amount of time is that we didn’t really get a chance to run the numbers for every team all at once. And if we had, injuries and transactions would have rendered those projections out of date by now.So to our eagle-eyed readers: Yes, we know, the projected wins for each team did not perfectly average 41-41 across the entire NBA.2They came close; on average, we were about 0.9 wins too high per team. We also didn’t adjust the numbers for strength of schedule. But we have now. Here’s an overview of each conference’s projected standings, which takes into account CARMELO’s ratings and each team’s schedule.3Our original predictions have a .996 correlation with these updated ones, so very little changed when we plugged our talent ratings into the 2015-16 NBA schedule. Unsurprisingly, the main difference came between conferences, where the same amount of generic talent in the CARMELO model will buy you more wins in the East than the West.EASTERN CONFERENCE 15NetsAtlantic-3.828-3.929-7.721.7 8JazzNorthwest+0.514+0.88+1.343.8 15LakersPacific-1.923-4.830-6.722.1 8PacersCentral-1.219-0.219-1.437.7 1CavaliersCentral+8.210.018+8.163.2 5RocketsSouthwest+4.03+0.610+4.752.6 SEEDTEAMDIVOFFNBA RKDEFNBA RKTOTWINS 13NuggetsNorthwest-4.329-0.923-5.226.3 11MagicSoutheast-1.420-0.721-2.136.1 10SunsPacific-2.624+1.96-0.738.2 In the West, the Golden State Warriors are once again our pick for No. 1 in the conference. But beneath them, there are some shake-ups: The Oklahoma City Thunder, who finished out of the playoffs last season after an incredible spate of injuries, are right back near the top of the standings, as are the new-look San Antonio Spurs. Those teams push the Los Angeles Clippers down to No. 4, highlighting just how stacked the West continues to be.CARMELO also thinks the Houston Rockets will fall from second to fifth in the conference, thanks to a declining defense. And it forecasts an extreme decline for the Portland Trail Blazers — without LaMarcus Aldridge, Portland is projected to drop from fourth in the West to 12th. Meanwhile, at the bottom of the playoff picture, our numbers call for the Dallas Mavericks to cede their No. 7 slot from a year ago to the Pelicans, while the Utah Jazz and (shockingly) the Kings battle over the conference’s eighth and final postseason berth.As mentioned above, the West figures to once again dominate the East. While the Cavaliers project as the NBA’s most talented team (by fractions of a ratings point over the Warriors), each of the next six best teams are in the West, as are six of the seven teams we project to win 50+ games. But there might be slight hope for improvement in East-West relations: CARMELO thinks the East will gain five total wins on the West, compared to last year’s split between the conferences.No matter what happens between the conferences, though, we think they’ll be represented again in the Finals by the Cavaliers and Warriors come next June.4Cleveland has a much higher probability of getting there. And we’re really looking forward to seeing how their paths potentially take them there. 12BucksCentral-3.326+0.79-2.634.4 2ThunderNorthwest+6.12+0.513+6.658.0 SEEDTEAMDIVOFFNBA RKDEFNBA RKTOTWINS 1476ersAtlantic-6.730-0.822-7.522.0 9HeatSoutheast-0.316-1.324-1.637.7 9KingsPacific-1.018+0.414-0.638.3 3SpursSouthwest+2.37+4.22+6.457.1 5RaptorsAtlantic+0.712+0.116+0.844.5 6WizardsSoutheast-1.721+1.57-0.341.0 2CelticsAtlantic+2.08+0.415+2.449.2 4HawksSoutheast+0.711+0.611+1.345.7 13KnicksAtlantic-3.527-2.926-6.424.8 1WarriorsPacific+3.05+5.01+8.161.3 4ClippersPacific+4.04+1.95+5.956.1 12Trail BlazersNorthwest-1.822+0.612-1.336.2 11MavericksSouthwest+1.49-1.925-0.638.0 7PelicansSouthwest+2.36-0.620+1.844.9 6GrizzliesSouthwest+0.613+3.13+3.750.5 14TimberwolvesNorthwest-2.625-3.128-5.724.9 read more

Justin Blackmon Finally Signs With Jaguars

Justin Blackmon is in the record books and he has not even played a game yet for the Jacksonville Jaguars. He certainly did not plan for the dubious distinction he acquired, but then who would?Blackmon became this year’s final first-round draft pick to sign a contract. The No. 5 overall will show up for his first NFL practice Tuesday after he signs a four-year deal worth $19.5 million, according to the Florida Times-Union.As it is in today’s technologically advanced times, the Jaguars announced the contract agreement with Blackmon via the team’s Twitter account.In any case, the club is ready to have the receiver with so much potential begin working on his craft with his teammates. Blackmon isn’t likely to play in the Jaguars’ first preseason game Friday against the New York Giants. New rules call for a player to have three days of non-contact work before he’s allowed to put on full pads. Starting practice Tuesday only allows for two days of non-contact work before the preseason game.Whatever the case, Blackmon will arrive with a cloud of drama hanging over him and suspect eyes because of his troubled past.The former Oklahoma State star pleaded guilty last month to drunken driving in Oklahoma. He negotiated a deal that did not included jail time.Still, it was s disturbing scenario. Blackmon was arrested in Stillwater, Okla., on June 3 and charged with aggravated DUI when he registered a .24 alcohol level, three times the legal limit. He later apologized and indicated that he would stop drinking.This arrest followed an arrest for an alcohol-related offense while at Oklahoma State, leading to speculation that the Jaguars wanted some sort of contractual protection should he run afoul of the law again.It is not clear at this time if that kind of stipulation was a sticking point in the contract negotiations. read more

Saints Coach Sean Payton to Become Free Agent

New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton, who is currently serving a yearlong suspension, is set to become a free agent at the end of this season after his multi-year contract extension in September 2011 was voided by the NFL within the past year according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter.The extension would have kept Payton in New Orleans through the 2015 season, but a clause in the contact is the specific reason why the NFL decided to void it. The clause states that Payton could walk away from the deal if general manager Mickey Loomis was fired, suspended, or left the organization under any circumstances that were deemed to be unsatisfactory by the league.The NFL felt that the clause would have set a horrible pattern for future coaching contracts and denied the deal months before Loomis was set to serve his eight game suspension for his role in the bounty scandal.Ironically, Saints owner Tom Benson announced the extension last year which did not receive approval from the league.“I am very pleased to announce this contract extension today for Sean that will run through the 2015 season,” Benson said. “Our goal is to continue to build a tradition of winning here in New Orleans and Sean represents that tradition.”In March, Payton visited the NFL offices to appeal his suspension in connection with the bounty scandal, he then asked NFL commissioner Roger Goodell about the status of his contract extension and was informed that the contract was unacceptable, according to Schefter.Both sides attempted to resolve the matter, but were unable to in numerous attempts that date back to the beginning of this year.The NFL released a statement Sunday morning, saying it had “made no determination” on the status of Payton’s contract for next year.“All contracts between clubs and their employees must be approved by the commissioner, and we do not comment on specific terms of individual contracts,” the statement said. “Any comment regarding the matter should come from Coach Payton and the Saints.”There are some in the league office that believe Payton’s contract will be put on hold, meaning he would be the head coach in New Orleans for the 2013 season. But others believe that he will become a free agent.The struggling Dallas Cowboys are one of the teams that have risen to surface in being interested in Payton if he is a free agent. Payton served as assistant head coach from 2003 to 2005 for the Cowboys and purchased a house in the city early last year.Current Cowboys coach Jason Garret is in his second year after finishing 8-8 last year. He has been scrutinized the past couple of weeks with bad play-calling and clock management issues, which has them at 3-4 for the season.Earlier in the season Cowboys owner Jerry Jones expressed that the window of opportunity was closing on his team. The Cowboys have not made a playoff appearance since 2009, and if they do not make playoffs this season he may possibly replace Garrett with Payton. read more

Patriots Owner Robert Kraft Charged with Solicitation of Prostitution

FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. (AP) — New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft is being charged with misdemeanor solicitation of prostitution after he was twice videotaped paying for a sex act at an illicit massage parlor, police in Florida said Friday.Jupiter police told reporters Friday that the 77-year-old Kraft hasn’t been arrested. A warrant will be issued and his attorneys will be notified. Kraft has denied wrongdoing.FILE – In this Jan. 20, 2019, file photo, New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft walks on the field before the AFC Championship NFL football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the New England Patriots, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall, File)Jupiter police said details about the charges against Kraft will not be released until next week.The charge comes amid a widespread crackdown on sex trafficking in the area surrounding Palm Beach County. About 200 arrest warrants have been issued in recent days and more are expected. Police said they secretly planted undercover cameras in targeted massage parlors and videotaped the interactions between men and the female employees.In a statement, a spokesperson for Kraft said they “categorically deny that Mr. Kraft engaged in any illegal activity. Because it is a judicial matter, we will not be commenting further.”The Patriots won the Super Bowl earlier this month in Atlanta, their sixth in the last 18 seasons.Jupiter Police Chief Daniel Kerr said he was shocked to learn Kraft, who is worth $6 billion, was paying for sex inside a strip-mall massage parlor, the Orchids of Asia Day Spa.“We are as equally stunned as everyone else,” Kerr said.The Palm Beach County State Attorney’s Office, which would prosecute the case, had no comment.Kraft lives in Massachusetts and has a home in the Palm Beach area. He is a frequent guest of President Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago club. Though a Democrat, he is friendly with Trump.Kraft’s wife Myra Hiatt died in 2011. He has been dating 39-year-old actress Ricki Noel Lander since 2012.The NFL did not immediately respond to a message Friday seeking comment.Most people charged for the first time for soliciting a prostitute in Florida are allowed to enter a diversion program, said attorney David Weinstein, a former prosecutor. Kraft would have to perform 100 hours of community service and pay to attend an educational program about the negative effects of prostitution and human trafficking.Kraft, who made his initial fortune through a packaging company, was a Patriots season ticket owner when he purchased the team’s previous stadium during in 1988, then used his leverage to buy the team in 1994 for $172 million to keep if from moving to St. Louis.He hired Bill Belichick to be his coach in 2000 and the team subsequently drafted quarterback Tom Brady, launching their nearly two decades of success.Under Kraft, the Patriots have been the most successful team in pro sports, having made it to 10 Super Bowls, winning six, including this year against the Los Angeles Rams.But there also have been issues involving team actions under Belichick.In 2007, the Patriots were caught filming signals from New York Jets coaches; New England was suspected of doing so against other teams, as well, and that was confirmed later on. NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell fined the Patriots $250,000 and stripped them of their 2008 first-round draft pick. Belichick was fined $500,000, the most an NFL coach ever was fined.In the 2014 AFC championship game, the team — specifically, star quarterback Tom Brady — was accused by the Indianapolis Colts of doctoring footballs.The NFL concluded that Patriots employees were involved in deflating the footballs and Brady was “at least generally aware” it was being done. After lengthy legal battles, Brady served a four-game suspension at the beginning of the 2016 season and the Patriots were fined $1 million — the heftiest for a team in league history. New England was stripped of a first-round and a fourth-round draft choice.Neither Kraft nor Belichick were implicated after the investigation. read more

How The Eagles Are Winning Matters As Much As Their 20 Record

The Philadelphia Eagles are 2-0, but they’re living dangerously. The Eagles fell behind 17-0 against Jacksonville on opening day before hanging 34 unanswered points on the Jaguars defense. And Philadelphia was at it again in Monday night’s victory over the Indianapolis Colts. Trailing 20-6 at one point in the third quarter, the Eagles came back to win on a Cody Parkey field goal as time expired.Philadelphia has an average points-per-game margin of +10 so far this season, which ties it for fifth-best in the NFL. If you look at how the Eagles’ games have developed, though, you’d never guess they’d have such a positive scoring margin. To measure this phenomenon, FiveThirtyEight contributor Chase Stuart has created a metric called Game Scripts, which attempts to more accurately measure how the totality of a game played out beyond the final score line. A team’s Game Script in a given game (or season) is its average point margin at any given moment.Against Indianapolis, the Eagles had a Game Script of -4.8, meaning they trailed by nearly five points at any given moment in the game. Needless to say, teams that post a Game Script of -4.8 tend to lose. Historically, only about 17 percent of teams with that particular Game Script win the game in question. But that’s nothing compared with Philadelphia’s game vs. Jacksonville — the Eagles won despite a -7.1 Game Script. Teams with such a negative Game Script tend to win only 9 percent of the time.Adding those two winning percentages up, we’d expect the Eagles to have won just 0.26 games so far this year, based on the degree to which they’ve trailed and the amount of time they’ve spent trailing. That represents a huge difference from their actual win total (two). Through two games, it’s the biggest difference between actual wins and Game Script-predicted wins of any team since 1978 (when the league expanded to a 16-game schedule in 1978).But that gap is probably unsustainable. After all, impressive late-game comebacks aren’t necessarily very predictive of how a team will play in the future. However, I decided to test which statistic was a better descriptor of a team like the Eagles: two actual wins in two games, or 0.26 Game Script-predicted wins?For both metrics, I looked at teams’ two-game starts to the season (excluding strike-shortened campaigns) and their records over the remainder of the season. For example, the average 2-0 team ended up winning eight games out of its next 14. So just from Philadelphia’s record alone, we’d expect them to finish the season 10-6. But the average team with 0.26 Game Script-predicted wins through two games won only 5.9 of their next 14 games, which would yield a predicted record of about 8-8 for the Eagles despite the 2-0 start.I then tested which mixture of actual and Game Script-predicted wins yielded the best prediction about how a team would finish the year. The result? Both variables carry almost exactly the same weight. Accuracy is maximized when predicting a team’s rest-of-season record by giving 50.7 percent weight to that which would be predicted from its actual record, and 49.3 percent to that which would be predicted from its Game Script. (And both variables are statistically significant.)For the Eagles, this means they aren’t quite the team we’d expect from their 2-0 record. But they also shouldn’t have their big average deficits completely held against them. Combining the two metrics, we’d expect them to finish with almost exactly seven wins in their final 14 games, which would yield a record of 9-7. read more

Meet The Personal Stats Analyst Who Helped Kevin Durant Win The MVP

Personal trainers have been a part of professional sports for decades. Personal data analysts are newer.As a trained mathematician, Justin Zormelo provided Kevin Durant of the Oklahoma City Thunder with personalized analytics during Durant’s MVP season. And in his most recent undertaking, Zormelo is training a 17-year-old, 7-foot-1-inch Sudan native named Thon Maker. Zormelo’s story is told in the latest “Signals” film from FiveThirtyEight and ESPN Films: “By The Numb3rs (With Justin Zormelo),” directed by Jamie Schutz.

Ohio State baseball looks to rebound in 3game series at Maryland

OSU redshirt junior right fielder Jacob Bosiokovic (17) gets ready to swing during a game against Bethune-Cookman on April 2 at Bill Davis Stadium.Credit: Edward Sutelan | For The LanternHumble pie does not taste good, but sometimes it’s necessary in order to get a dose of reality.Ohio State baseball coach Greg Beals knows this all too well after his alma mater Kent State provided that slice of truthful decadence with an 8-3 thumping Tuesday evening. OSU (19-8-1, 2-1) had been riding a seven-game winning streak, and dating back to the March 15 win over UNLV, had won 12 of its last 13 games. But the throttling at the hands of the Golden Flashes provided a blinding reality check that Beals is using as a learning experience. “It wasn’t just (Tuesday’s starter) Ryan Feltner, we all got punched in the mouth yesterday,” Beals said. “So it’s good. The competitors that we are, it’s not all bad.”OSU hasn’t faced a Big Ten opponent on the road so far this season, and the nonconference loss to Kent State was its first matchup versus a road opponent with a winning record.Now, OSU, which is 4-4 on the road, is getting set to head to College Park, Maryland, for its first-ever road series with the recently added Big Ten rival Maryland Terrapins (14-15, 1-2). Last season, the Terps took two of three games at Bill Davis Stadium in May, sending OSU into a tailspin that it couldn’t steer out of. OSU co-captain and third baseman Nick Sergakis said the Buckeyes are looking for revenge against the Terrapins after they stole a series from the Buckeyes in Columbus.  “They came into our place and kind of handed it to us a little bit,” Sergakis said. “We wanna go out to their park and do the same thing to them. They’re a good team, we have not taken them lightly. It’s a big Big Ten series.” Beals noted that OSU is more experienced and more potent on offense, leading him to believe his guys will be ready for the battle when junior ace Tanner Tully takes the mound on Friday. Scouting MarylandMaryland enters the series as losers of three of its last four games, including a frustrating series loss to High Point at home. Maryland currently sits at 1-2 in the Big Ten after dropping two of three at Iowa, and the series this weekend against the Buckeyes will open a swing of conference games that make up nine of its next 10. The Terrapins lean heavily on underclassmen for production at the plate, as their top three hitters — sophomore infielder Kevin Biondic, freshman infielder Nick Dunn and freshman outfielder Marty Costes — have accounted for a combined 11 home runs, 56 RBIs and a .325 average. The Terrapin pitching staff sits in eighth place in the Big Ten with a 4.30 team ERA, but it’s loaded with top-notch talent. The pitching staff has been led by sophomore right-hander Taylor Bloom, who leads the team with a 4-2 record and a 2.36 ERA. Perhaps most impressively, Bloom leads the Terps with 8.5 strikeouts for each walk, which is tied for 16th in Division I. “Their starting pitchers are good,” Beals said. “We’ve gotta be able to be fastball ready and make sure we’re able to capitalize on the good pitches that we do get to hit, and then most importantly, we’ve gotta stay off their breaking balls. If we can stay away from the chases and hit the pitches we’re supposed to hit, I think we’ll be good.”Back on the right trackIn the latest release of the RPI standings by the NCAA, OSU came in at 149th place out of 300 teams, meaning OSU will have to turn up the heat for the rest of the conference season in order to boost its tournament résumé. Beals stressed the importance of getting back on the winning track against Maryland as a direct way to do that, as this series is the first of four consecutive Big Ten series for the Buckeyes. A big factor for OSU to get back to their winning ways is whether redshirt sophomore pitcher Adam Niemeyer will be able to shake off the hamstring pull that caused him to exit his last start against Bethune-Cookman after just 4.1 innings of work. “We’re going to bump him back to Sunday,” Beals said. “Right now we’re going to go Tully, (senior John) Havird and Niemeyer — just buying Adam another day. There’s still some soreness and tightness in that hamstring, we’re going to learn more about it today and tomorrow.”Junior catcher and co-captain Jalen Washington said the team will be ready to open its first series in Maryland and stressed the importance of getting on a roll in the conference. “Each Big Ten series is a big opportunity for us, so we just need to get out there and get ahead of it,” Washington said. “We don’t want to look back at the end of the season and worry about losing one to Maryland when we could have taken the series from them. Each opportunity is big for us.” The first pitch in College Park is set to be thrown out at 5:30 p.m. on Friday, while Saturday and Sunday’s games are scheduled to begin at 2 p.m. and 1 p.m., respectively. read more

Buckeyes fall in straight sets to Penn State

The Ohio State women’s volleyball team lost in straight sets to 9th-ranked Penn State Wednesday night at St. John Arena (25-22, 25-21, 25-18). The match featured 22 ties and nine lead changes, but OSU couldn’t seem to get in a serving rhythm. “Our serving just wasn’t great tonight,” OSU coach Geoff Carlston said. “We’ve got to go back and we’ll work on that tomorrow.” The much bigger Penn State team created problems for the Buckeyes all night on the front lines. “They changed their blocking strategy. They committed on their middles,” senior outside hitter Anna Szerszen said. “We weren’t able to adapt fast enough.” Sophomore outside hitter Emily Danks led the Buckeyes with nine points, including six kills. Reigning Big Ten Player of the Week Kelli Barhorst was held to three points as Penn State adjusted to defend her early. “We were setting the same ball to her and they we’re defending it well,” Carlston said. Sophomore setter Amanda Peterson was productive off the bench for the Buckeyes. “Amanda Peterson came in and did a nice job of changing up the flow,” Carlston said. The Buckeyes look to improve their defense as they move farther into Big Ten play. “Our defense needs to perform better on the block,” senior setter Betsy Hone said. “We need to crash in, put our helmets on and play some defense.” With the loss, OSU drops to 16-6 on the season and 4-5 in Big Ten play. They travel to Evanston, Ill., to take on 22nd-ranked Northwestern Friday night at 7 p.m. read more

Wealthy tree surgeon under arrest in hospital after girlfriend is found stabbed

first_imgNeighbours told how the couple had been in a relationship for several months, following the death of Mr Rough’s first wife from cancer two years ago.The couple were understood to have recently enjoyed a holiday together in the Lake District.Three cars belonging to Mr Rough remained parked on the driveway of his home and neighbours said they understood he also owned an ocean-going boat.Forensic officers were continuing to examine the property, while police were also at Mrs Pattenden’s nearby home in Elgar Avenue, Crowthorne.A spokesman for Thames Valley Police confirmed that the death was being treated as murder but said that the victim had not yet been formally identified.The spokesman said: “Thames Valley Police has launched a murder investigation in Crowthorne, Berkshire,“Police received a call shortly before 11.30pm on Sunday night reporting that a woman had died inside a property in Ellis Road.“A man in his mid-50s was found injured at the property and was taken to hospital with what is believed to be stab wounds where he remains in a critical condition.“Officers attended the property and a woman, aged in her early 50s, was found deceased inside the property. Her next of kin has been informed and are being supported by specially-trained officers.“A scene watch is currently in place in Ellis Road and officers will be conducting inquiries in the area as part of the investigation.”Senior investigating officer, Detective Chief Inspector Ailsa Kent, from Thames Valley Police’s Major Crime Unit, said: “A murder investigation has begun following the discovery of a woman’s body in a house in Crowthorne.“Although we are in the early stages of conducting inquiries, this is thought to have been an isolated incident and it is believed the victim was known to the offender.“I would like to appeal for any witnesses who may have seen or heard anything suspicious in that area at around the time of the incident.“Officers will be present in the area of Ellis Road and anyone who has any information or concerns can approach an officer to speak to them.” Want the best of The Telegraph direct to your email and WhatsApp? Sign up to our free twice-daily  Front Page newsletter and new  audio briefings. A company director has been arrested in hospital after his girlfriend was found stabbed to death at his home in an upmarket village in Berkshire.The 55-year-old, who runs his own tree surgery and landscaping business, was rushed to hospital suffering from a number of stab wounds and was placed under ‘technical arrest’ by detectives investigating the murder of his 53-year-old partner.Paramedics and police rushed to Michael Rough’s £500,000 detached home in Ellis Close, Crowthorne, following a 999 call.Officers discovered the body of a 53-year-old woman, named locally as Jackie Pattenden, inside the property, along with Mr Rough, who was suffering from stab wounds.He was rushed to the Royal Berkshire Hospital in Reading, where his condition was described as “critical”.Police are not believed to be looking for anyone else in connection with the double stabbing.Police said that a 55-year-old man had been arrested on suspicion of murder but was under “technical arrest” in hospital.last_img read more